Eesti keeles vaata allpool.
This seemingly simple question turns out to have many different answers that vary significantly. In his “Tale of two parking studies”, Markus Alliksaar reveals that the Madison project has conducted not one, but two parking studies, albeit both having significant methodological flaws. This left me wondering how many cars can actually be found parked at the current Estonian House parking lot?
The first parking study, conducted by LMM Engineering, found the maximum utilization at 12 parking spaces on Tuesday, between 4:30 and 5:00 pm and the second study by LEA Consulting found maximum utilization of 19 spaces on Saturday at 3:30pm and 36 on Tuesday 4:30pm.
In his article, Mr. Alliksaar pointed out that the LEA Consulting “parking utilization rate was studied in the summer when most of the Estonian House’s activities are shut down”. LEA Consulting report disagrees with this observation, stating that “While it is understood that the data of which this study is based on was collected in the month of August, which may differ in patterns from months during the Fall, Winter or Spring, it is further understood that the existing Estonian House experiences relatively consistent parking demand throughout the year.”
LMM Engineering study was conducted in March, not during low summer usage. How did LMM Engineering manage to count only 7 cars at the start (7pm) of a regular school night will likely never be known, but this is the number that was recorded.
Since both studies happened to count cars during low usage periods, the question remained - what is the actual maximum usage? Conveniently, the Estonian House activities are back after Labour Day and parking on several days were observed within a 2 week period.
The peak usage during this period was recorded on Tue, Sept 10 at 7:15pm with 71 cars in the parking lot. Other peak observation times on different days:
Thursday Sept 12 at 7:30pm – 54 cars
Saturday Sept 14 – 100% parking lot used by ETCU activities
Tuesdays, Sept 17 at 8pm – 40 cars (no high school attendance)
Thursday Sept 19 at 7:30pm – 46 cars
Saturday Sept 21 at 10:30am – 51 cars
Tuesday Sept 24 at 8:30pm – 57 cars
These observations do not attempt to answer the question whether 0 proposed parking spaces at Madison Ave is a sufficient number for community use but it does call into question the number of cars observed by the previous studies.
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Kui palju autosid on tegelikult pargitud Eesti Maja parklas?
Tuleb välja, et sellele näiliselt lihtsale küsimusele on mitu erinevat vastust mis erinevad üksteisest märkimisväärselt. Markus Alliksaar oma arvamusloos “Lugu kahest parkimisuuringust“ toob esile, et Madisoni projekt on läbi viinud mitte ühe vaid koguni kaks parkimisuuringut, olgu küll, et mõlemad uuringud sisaldavad mitmeid märkimisväärseid metoodilisi vigu. See jättis ikkagi rippuma õhku küsimusmärgi, et kui palju autosid on tegelikult pargitud praeguse Eesti Maja parkimisplatsil.
Esimene parkimisuuring, läbi viidud LMM Engineeringu poolt, teatas, et maksimaalkasutus leidis aset teisipäeva pärastlõunal kella 16.30 ja 17.00 vahel kui kasutusel oli 12 parkimiskohta. Teine parkimisuuring LEA Consulting poolt teatas, et maksimaalselt oli kasutatud 19 kohta laupäeval kell 15.30 ja 36 kohta teisipäeval kell 16.30
Oma arvamusloos Markus Alliksaar tõi välja, et LEA Consulting on teinud oma parkimisuuringus vea, et “parkimiskasutust uuriti suvel kui enamus Eesti Maja tegevusest on madalseisus.” LEA Consulting sellega ei nõustu, teatades, et “kuigi on arusaadav, et andmed millel see uuring põhineb on kogutud augustis ja need andmed võivad erineda andmetest kogutud sügisel, talvel või kevadel, on siiski teada, et praeguse Eesti Maja parkimisvajadus on suhteliselt ühtlane läbi terve aasta.”
LMM Engineering uuring oli tehtud märtsikuus, väljaspool madalat suveperioodi. Kuidas LMM Engineering suutis kokku lugeda ainult 7 autot kell 19.00 kui algas kooli tavaline õppepäev on müsteerium millele me vastust tõenäoliselt kunagi ei saa, kuid see oli see number mis nad avaldasid.
Kuna mõlemad uuringud juhtusid ajale mil kasutus oli madal, siis püstitatud küsimus jäi endiselt vastamata – mis on tegelik maksimaalne parkimiskasutus? Õnneks on Eesti Maja tegevus pärast Labour Day nädalalõppu jälle täies hoos ja see võimaldas parkimisplatsi jälgida kahe nädala jooksul.
Suurim kasutus leidis aset teisipäeval, 10. septembril kell 19.15 – 71 pargitud autot. Teisi vaatlusi erinevatel päevadel:
Neljapäev, 12. september, 19.30 – 54 autot
Laupäev, 14. september – 100% parklat kasutatud Toronto Eesti Ühispanga tegevuse poolt
Teisipäev, 17. september, 20.00 – 40 autot (keskkooli ja gümnaasiumi tunnid jäid ära)
Neljapäev, 19. september, 19.30 – 46 autot
Laupäev, 21. september, 10:30 – 51 autot
Teisipäev, 24. september, 20.30 – 57 autot
Need vaatlused ei proovi anda vastust küsimusele kas Madisoni projekti poolt välja pakutud 0 parkimiskohta on küllalt meie kogukonnale, kuid need vaatlused seavad kahtluse alla eelnevate parkimisuuringute andmed.
How many cars are actually parked at Estonian House parking lot? ENG/EST EWR, Estonian Life (3)
Eestlased Kanadas | 05 Oct 2019 | EWR
Viimased kommentaarid
Kommentaarid on kirjutatud EWR lugejate poolt. Nende sisu ei pruugi ühtida EWR toimetuse seisukohtadega.
Thank you Tauno for providing solid numbers to refute the dubious claims made in the official parking studies. This is additional information that those studies are methodologically flawed.
will report what they are paid to report and will gather their statistics and basis facts accordingly. The less believable the desired conclusion - the greater the fee. If it is a particularly dubious conclusion, the recommended strategy is to order two reports! Having said that, I do see that there are serious flaws in Mr. Molder's statistical methodology. For one thing he appears to have actually attended on site to conduct his investigation (no self-respecting consultant would ever do so, as satellite imagery and inferential modelling are considered far less susceptible to entity inclination interference.)
“While it is understood that the data of which this study is based on was collected in the month of August, which may differ in patterns from months during the Fall, Winter or Spring, it is further understood that the existing Estonian House experiences relatively consistent parking demand throughout the year.“
Markus Alliksaar is correct to question Lea Engineering's credibility if their work shows that overall Estonian House parking lot use in August evenings and Saturdays is consistent with EM parking lot use during the school year.
Markus Alliksaar is correct to question Lea Engineering's credibility if their work shows that overall Estonian House parking lot use in August evenings and Saturdays is consistent with EM parking lot use during the school year.
Eestlased Kanadas
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