Nobody looking at Poland’s relationship with Russia over the past few centuries would counsel policymakers in Warsaw to adopt a sanguine attitude towards the East. From the partitions of Poland in the late 18th century to the crushing of the 1863 uprising against Tsarist autocracy, to the Red Army’s march on the infant Second Republic (foiled by the Miracle of the Vistula in 1920), to the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact of 1939 which divided Poland between the Nazi and Soviet empires, to the Katyn massacre in 1940 and the Soviet-backed imposition of martial law in 1981, the list is so long and so tragic that pathological historical trauma seems the normal and inevitable response.
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